The theory of Behavioral Finance has grown during the last
20 years or so. A study of this field will yield much functional information on
the psychology of investing. As an investor you will be effectively prepared
for success if you can identify the poor behaviors that lead to loss. As you
are aware my work has been focused on helping investors and consumers avoid
being victimized by scams, frauds and predatory sales tactics. The majority of
this work is focused on the individual and the behavior traits that lead to
victimization.
Most services or professional advisors seek to identify the
scams and frauds in order to protect the potential victims; this unfortunately
is much like prescribing aspirin for cancer. The reality is that victims
subject themselves to the scam, fraud or predatory sales tactic. Even
identifying the scams and frauds wouldn’t be a fulfilling solution to
insulating victims. The only pure cure is helping the potential victim
understand the psychological triggers that initiate the launch codes for the
perpetrators of the scams and frauds.
Once you understand the behavioral traits that commonly
create victimization you will be able to fully inoculate and insulate yourself
from scams, frauds and predatory sales tactics. With this information and
education you will be successfully identify all scams, frauds and predatory
sales tactics with minimal effort.
Today let’s review a common psychological trait that hampers
investors from consistent success. Overconfidence is the commonality for human
beings to think we are smarter and more sophisticated then we actually are.
Studies have proven that when people say they are 90% sure of something they
are right only 70% of the time. You can remember a time when you were
absolutely certain about something and then totally amazed that you were
incorrect, remember? This overconfidence for investors’ shows up in the
behavior of rapid trading due to the thought that we are smarter than the
person on the other side of the trade. Rapid
trading leads to unrecognized losses in the form of commissions, fees and
taxes. In the end the annual returns are negative as the losses add up. The
need for control is the behavior trait behind the overconfidence. If we are
more active in our investments then we have stronger control and feel a sense
of comfort that comes with full control. Unfortunately our inability to
recognize the overconfident behavior leads us to losses.
Tomorrow we will look at the psychological trait of
selective memory and how that impacts our investing behaviors.
No comments:
Post a Comment